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unique ENSO climatic signal . While this interaction occurs in the equatorial Pacific, the response of the atmospheric circulation to ENSO is global . Because of its strength and global influence, and because it has been shown to be predictable up to a year in advance (see, e.g., Barnett et al., 1988, and Barnston et al., 1994), ENSO is arguably the most important mode of climate variability on interannual time scales (see, e.g., Glantz, 1996). In recent years increased attention has been given to the variability of ENSO on decadal and longer time scales . In particular, the existence of the recent long interval of warm tropical sea surface temperature in the eastern Pacific and negative Southern Oscillation Index (shown in Figure 5-14) have initiated various Badass version crappie fishing metal all over print stainless steel tumblerspeculations on the origin of decadal variability in the tropics and on the nature of the link between these tropical variations and mid-latitude atmospheric circulation (Trenberth, 1995; Latif et al., 1996). Because of the implications of ENSO for global climate, it is imperative that we strive to better understand and predict decadal variability in the tropics. Other examples of tropical variability important to society are the long-term fluctuations of monsoon and Sahel rainfall . In the most general sense, atmospheric circulation arises in response to the

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